The signs aren't good

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This should be an easy year for Democrats.

A record percentage of Americans say the country is headed in the wrong direction -- and after years of mostly Republican rule, that should help Democrats.

Meanwhile, the media hype surrounding Democratic nominee-to-be Barack Obama is unprecedented and often unquestioning. National media have set him up as some sort of messiah.

And after a pitched primary battle in which he emerged victorious, you would think Obama would appear unbeatable by now.

By contrast, after an anti-climactic fizzle of a Republican primary, John McCain has sort of stumbled out of the gate for the general election, appearing unable to find his footing and to define his campaign clearly.

Yet, a recent Rasmussen poll amazingly has the two candidates tied at this point.

The Obama campaign plans a football-stadium acceptance speech at the Democratic convention in August. And his speech will coincide with the anniversary of Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech. Obama is sure to get a huge bounce from all that.

But by all rights, he should be starting from a stronger position than he seems to be. That can't be good news for Democrats. And consider: A Washington Post/ABC News poll says 72 percent think McCain would be a good commander-in-chief, but only 48 percent think Obama would.

Moreover, despite Obama's reputation for oratory, runners-up from the Republican primary can tell you what a savagely effective debater McCain is.

Polls at this point don't mean much. But they are signposts on a long journey.

Directions can change quickly on a political odyssey. But right now, the signs aren't good for Obama.

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2centsworth
1
Points
2centsworth 07/17/08 - 05:56 am
0
0
As in the past few cycles, it

As in the past few cycles, it will be close. Obama will carry Georgia - thanks to Bob Barr - but will lose the White House to McCain....the choice no one really wants.

Bizarro
13
Points
Bizarro 07/17/08 - 06:36 am
0
0
Choice what choices!!!!!!

Choice what choices!!!!!!

JohnRandolphHardisonCain
576
Points
JohnRandolphHardisonCain 07/17/08 - 07:21 am
0
0
Ehud Barack Saddam Hussein

Ehud Barack Saddam Hussein Osama Obama. Residual racism is a real factor working against Sen. Barack Obama. Disinformation, fear mongering, and Islamophobia are all playing destructive roles against Obama. The Establishment (corporate) mass media have not examined McCain's record closely or called him to account for duplicity. The shear foolishness of McCain's so-called economic plan is one glaring example. And make no mistake about this: Commander in Chief John McCain will not be able to win the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, but he could well collapse our economy trying. Many Americans unfortunately are not ready for a black man to be president. Maybe Sen. Clinton as VP nominee would help the Democrat ticket get over this historic barrier. At this point United States of America is anything but united.

sjgraci
2
Points
sjgraci 07/17/08 - 07:59 am
0
0
"The signs aren't good for

"The signs aren't good for Obama"? Really? I think you meant the signs aren't good for McSame and RepubliCONS. Show me one National poll that has McSame ahead. The Rasmussen Poll has Obama ahead by 3 points and not tied as you claim. Or did you pull a dirty trick and claim one of their "daily trackers" or disingenuously fail to mention margin of error? The latest ABC poll has Obama ahead by 8 points. The national composite polls have Obama ahead by 5 points. Then dig a little deeper and look at the state results. Obama is ahead in the electoral vote as well and this includes some "Red States" and he's competitive in several others. Not only is this election going to be a huge popular win for Obama, it has the likely potential of being a huge electoral win as well. Signs aren't good for RepubliCONS indeed.

Little Lamb
46999
Points
Little Lamb 07/17/08 - 08:03 am
0
0
When the evidence mounts and

When the evidence mounts and crosses over into the incontrovertible category that Obama was not born in Hawaii, but rather outside the U.S., who will have the guts to declare him ineligible to serve?

sjgraci
2
Points
sjgraci 07/17/08 - 08:26 am
0
0
Yeah right. And where was

Yeah right. And where was John McSame born?

weekapaug05
0
Points
weekapaug05 07/17/08 - 08:58 am
0
0
He was born on US owned soil

He was born on US owned soil on a Military base in Panama while his parents were stationed there, so he qualifies. And why do people keep calling him McSame? He's completely different than Bush and has been regarded as a liberal leaning republican for years. Why are dems so down on him all of a sudden? And when it comes to debating I think that the Chronicle has it right. Remember when McCain and Obama wanted to do a series of town hall open forum q&a debates, but then Obama all of a sudden wanted to cut it down to 5 and have (correct me if I'm wrong) two "town hall" meetings with predetermined talking points (I believe one was on energy plans) and then 3 network debates. He knows that his rhetoric is more believable when it goes unchallenged and he can stick to his talking points.

HYPOCRITES 08
7
Points
HYPOCRITES 08 07/17/08 - 09:24 am
0
0
McTHIS and MCTHAT, Who give a

McTHIS and MCTHAT, Who give a MCF.

HYPOCRITES 08
7
Points
HYPOCRITES 08 07/17/08 - 09:25 am
0
0
Why are you all so afraid of

Why are you all so afraid of thsi man? I was not a supporter of Obama, but OI am now. HJust like in the case of Flemings, thsi negative stuff is going to backfire.

patriciathomas
42
Points
patriciathomas 07/17/08 - 09:44 am
0
0
firefighterhamer, all of the

firefighterhamer, all of the negative information and misinformation comes from anti-Obama people. McCain speaks out against all negative politicking. The real negatives on Obama will come out when(if) the media decides to reveal his career and associates. He wasn't "Mr Clean" in Illinois. Also, he wasn't born an American citizen. His mother was, but Barak and his father weren't.

cbbaker
0
Points
cbbaker 07/17/08 - 09:50 am
0
0
Little Lamb, Obama's mother

Little Lamb, Obama's mother was an American citizen. That made him one as well at birth, regardless of where he was born.

jack
10
Points
jack 07/17/08 - 10:39 am
0
0
Osama elected President will

Osama elected President will mean 4 years of another Jimmy the panut Carter. Carter got elected as a reaction to Nixon's mess and now Osama may get elected (God forbid) as a reaction to Bush. I ain't a McCain fan, but will vote for him as I KNOW he is a true leader rather than some local yokel "community organizer" empty suit. As for McCain being another Bush, he has said he will retain tax cuts (if the DIMs let him) and will not precipitously withdraw from Iraq. Osama let his mouth over load his butt with his speech on how he will handle Iraq and Afghanistan though he hasn't yet to step foot in either.

Bizarro
13
Points
Bizarro 07/17/08 - 10:58 am
0
0
Note that Kennedy, Clinton,

Note that Kennedy, Clinton, and McCain are strict constitutionalist as all voted against the new Rep drafted changes to FISA giving the executive branch more authority, Now we see Obama's true colors as he voted for the bill realizing he will be gaining the new authority. Obama is preparing for his New Fascist Regime. hee,hee,hee,heee. Clearly Obama is mimicking Benito Musolini the leader of the National Fascist Party and leader of the Italian Social Republic. He realized socialism was a failure and was a key figure in the creation of Fascism. Obama will start as a Socialist and then become Fascist.

patriciathomas
42
Points
patriciathomas 07/17/08 - 11:19 am
0
0
cbbaker, bad information. Do

cbbaker, bad information. Do research. That 'drop of blood' theory only holds for the black side of his family.

patriciathomas
42
Points
patriciathomas 07/17/08 - 02:14 pm
0
0
Whatever the reasoning, Obama

Whatever the reasoning, Obama is not overwhelming McCain in the polls. Very strange in the newspapers point of view. Makes one wonder if the newspapers or the polls are wrong.

Michael Ryan
691
Points
Michael Ryan 07/17/08 - 02:42 pm
0
0
Bizarro
13
Points
Bizarro 07/17/08 - 03:40 pm
0
0
McCain has never been a Rep,

McCain has never been a Rep, but he realized it was the only way he would even stand a chance was to run as a Dem or Rep. He could have just as easily ran as a Dem.

toldya
0
Points
toldya 07/17/08 - 04:29 pm
0
0
I find McCain to be very

I find McCain to be very arrogant and out of touch with the "regular" people. IMHO- i don't care for him much.

toldya
0
Points
toldya 07/17/08 - 04:32 pm
0
0
Patricia: I know that when it

Patricia: I know that when it relates to religion, if a woman marries a jew and she is not jewish if she bears a child , the child takes on the religion of the Mother.

toldya
0
Points
toldya 07/17/08 - 04:36 pm
0
0
Patricia: So if the Governor

Patricia: So if the Governor of California- Arnold- who is now an American citizen, but was not born one- and cannot run for president. Where was O'Bama born?

Rose
17
Points
Rose 07/17/08 - 05:32 pm
0
0
Obama was born in Hawaii

Obama was born in Hawaii which was and is one state in the USA.A copy of his birth certificate is on his site.

Rose
17
Points
Rose 07/17/08 - 05:36 pm
0
0
The truth about Barack's

The truth about Barack's birth certificate

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lie:
Obama Is Not a Natural Born Citizen

Truth:
Senator Obama was born in Hawaii in 1961, after it became a state on August 21st, 1959. Obama became a citizen at birth under the first section of the 14th Amendment

Rose
17
Points
Rose 07/17/08 - 05:42 pm
0
0
If anyone can prove his birth

If anyone can prove his birth certificate is a fake, then the government needs to know. A President has to be born a citizen. that is, on American soil or American base in another country.The President has to be born a citizen of this country.

Rose
17
Points
Rose 07/17/08 - 05:50 pm
0
0
What really gets me is that

What really gets me is that McCain and Obama are not smearing each other nor their families, and even denounce others who tell lies and half truths about their opponents. Both are trying to run a clean campaign, but the people, mostly republicans,are trying their best to change that.

Rose
17
Points
Rose 07/17/08 - 05:51 pm
0
0
I have more respect for

I have more respect for McCain than I do for his supporters.

sjgraci
2
Points
sjgraci 07/17/08 - 05:55 pm
0
0
Susan Estrich? SUSAN ESTRICH!

Susan Estrich? SUSAN ESTRICH! You actually pointed to an article from Susan Estrich to try and make your twisted point. A Faux Democrat and so-called "Liberal" pessimist talking head on TV. I've known it all along, the Chronicle takes its marching orders from Faux News. As I also suspected, you used the Rasmusen daily tracker with leaners. You also can not find one of those daily trackers since Obama became the nominee with McSame ahead. Obama has been holding steady around 48% and McSame around 44%. If it were the other way around I would agree with you that "signs aren't good". But, it's not and in the key battle-ground states of the North East and in MT, NM, NV, CO, and IA Obama is ahead. He is even within 2% in FL, and VA and within 4% in SD, and NC. The Electoral College has Obama with 293 v.s. McSame's 227. And THAT is why signs aren't good for McSame.

patriciathomas
42
Points
patriciathomas 07/17/08 - 07:01 pm
0
0
gottabquiet, The photoshopped

gottabquiet, The photoshopped copy of a birth certificate for Obama has just a few discrepancies. 1) An authentic Hawaiian birth certificate has an embossed official seal and an authoritative registrar signature coming from the back side of the certificate. Obama's has neither. 2)The state doesn't use electronic versions under any circumstances, according to the Directer of Communications for the Department of Health. 3) the certificate number which would allow the certificate to be traced to confirm it's authenticity is shown as redacted. 4) the Obama certificate has the notation "filed by registrar". Official birth certificates have the notation "accepted by the registrar". The daily kos started running this "birth certificate" before the Fight the Smears site picked it up. If the media starts searching, we may learn where he was really born. He's certainly not American.

Rose
17
Points
Rose 07/17/08 - 07:19 pm
0
0
PT I disagree with you on

PT I disagree with you on this one.If he was not a born American citizen, he would not be allowed to run for President. I am sure he had to get his papers in order before he qualified.Also with so many repubs hating and smearing him,he would be out of the race way before now if he were not born a citizen.

patriciathomas
42
Points
patriciathomas 07/17/08 - 07:28 pm
0
0
I'm certain that's an

I'm certain that's an unbiased comment Rose, but how do you explain the discrepancies. (unexplained differences)

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