Augusta Chronicle Editorial Staff
Super Tuesday may have set the foundation for John McCain's presidential nomination.
But events today may actually help determine whether McCain wins the White House.
That's because the Arizona senator will speak to the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington, D.C., where he will seek the blessings of a skeptical, if not hostile, GOP conservative base.
He will need that base to win if he's the nominee. But first he'll have to convince conservatives that if he's not one of them, he can sure act like it for four or eight years.
That will take some doing, after McCain's record - which includes opposing the Bush tax cuts and being a lead sponsor of amnesty for illegal immigrants and the McCain-Feingold campaign finance law that many believe curtails free speech.
What McCain says today, and how believable he is, will have much to say about how sincerely the Republican Party would unite behind him as the nominee.
The GOP may benefit from a protracted nomination battle between Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama - a tussle that was largely fought to a draw on Super Tuesday and could last up to the party's August convention. That would give a Republican nominee time to rest, reconnoiter and replenish funds.
It might also give Republicans time to unite behind the nominee - and if that's to be McCain, then the process must start today.
Each needs the other. McCain needs conservative voters to win in November. Conservatives desperately need a candidate, after a brief flirtation with Fred Thompson and then failing to choose between Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee until late in the process - and even then splitting the conservative vote between the two.
Nor could the stakes be higher for both McCain and conservatives. Jed Babbin, editor of conservative publication Human Events, says much hinges on what McCain says today about illegal immigrants and his past support for a "path to citizenship." If McCain doesn't renounce that idea, which many consider amnesty, "he will not win over the conservative community he needs to win in November," Babbin contends.
And if conservatives ultimately reject the presumptive nominee in their conference straw poll on Saturday - now one of the most important votes left in the Republican race - then they may throw the election to a Democrat whose idea of immigration reform is driver's licenses for illegals.