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Expect more Georgia tornadoes

Sunday, March 16, 2014 2:56 PM
Last updated 6:36 PM
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ATHENS, Ga. -- There’s a chance Georgia could see more tornadoes and severe thunderstorms than usual this year, according to one tornado expert.

“In the spring, our tornadoes are associated with the clash between warm and moist air masses and cool air masses,” said David Stooksbury, a professor in the University of Georgia’s College of Engineering and the former state climatologist.

And this year, we’ve got lots of that kind of clash going on, because the El Nino-La Nina weather cycle that heavily influences our weather is stuck in neutral.

When that happens, we’re more apt to see the kind of weather we experienced this winter — really cold spells alternating with balmy temperatures, wet with dry.

“We’ve been in that classic neutral pattern where every few days we’ve gone up and down, up and down, up and down,” Stooksbury said. “So you have many of the ingredients for that, and the fact that the weather has been so variable.”

This year reminds Stooksbury of the early 1970s, a time when northeast Georgia got more than their share of tornadoes and storms.

Stooksbury has been uncomfortably prescient this year. The neutral pattern is the kind of pattern that is apt to produce really cold spells, he said shortly before the thermometer went down to 8 degrees in Athens.

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Riverman1
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Riverman1 03/16/14 - 05:12 pm
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Farmer's Almanac

The Farmer's Almanac has a better history.

Gage Creed
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Gage Creed 03/16/14 - 06:26 pm
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AlGore must be in country....

AlGore must be in country.... I hear he's putting together another Antarctic expedition to view the ice thaw... I hear the MV Akademik Shokalskiy is available

Little Lamb
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Little Lamb 03/16/14 - 07:07 pm
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Prediction

It costs Professor Stooksbury nothing to make these off the cuff predictions. If he's right, nobody cares. If he's wrong, nobody remembers.

There is absolutely no accountability in weather forecasting. We might get some more accurate forecasts if the forecaster had some skin in the game. How about they put up a bond with the news media publishing their forecasts? Then, if they prove right, they get their bond back plus a stipend. If they are wrong, they forfeit the bond.

rebellious
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rebellious 03/16/14 - 11:42 pm
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Why Not?

Record Ice storm, Earthquake... Why not a Tornado? I think when it hits, I will climb to the peak of my 2 story home, and like Lt. Danz from Forrest Gump, scream at The Almighty to "bring it on". After 6 years of Obama and all the "Fundamental Change" I can handle...what else can He throw at us?

CobaltGeorge
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CobaltGeorge 03/17/14 - 07:49 am
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rebellious, "bring it on"

At least, if I go twirling into the sunset, I can say I went with Pride and Honour.

Little Lamb
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Little Lamb 03/17/14 - 10:08 am
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Chance

From Lee Shearer’s story:

ATHENS, Ga. -- There’s a chance Georgia could see more tornadoes and severe thunderstorms than usual this year, according to one tornado expert.

This “forecast” could be made every year. There’s always a chance!

Bizkit
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Bizkit 03/17/14 - 10:52 am
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Computer models?? it reminds

Computer models?? it reminds me of Global warming models that have dropped below the 90% reliability the last 17 years with temperatures at a standstill. Scientist can't figure out why it isn't increasing as their models predict. A model is no better than it's predictive abilities-back to the drawing board.

Darby
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Darby 03/18/14 - 12:13 am
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"AlGore must be in country....

I hear he's putting together another Antarctic expedition to view the ice thaw..."

Yeah, I heard he was halfway to the Alaska before someone pointed out that Antarctica wasn't up north.

Darby
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Darby 03/18/14 - 12:15 am
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"Expect more Georgia tornadoes"

They're gonna keep repeating that until it happens, then proclaim "See, told you so, it'S CLIMATE CHANGE"!

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