Will win without runoff, Deal predicts

John Carrington/ Morris News Service
Republican candidate for Georgia Governor Nathan Deal campaigns to a small crowd of supporters in Johnson Square during a stop on a state-wide motor coach tour with other state Republican candidates.
Thursday, Oct. 28, 2010 6:48 AM
Last updated 6:52 AM
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Republican Nathan Deal said Wednesday he's confident he can win next week's election for Georgia governor without a runoff.

The former Gainesville congressman was asked about his prospects before he spoke at a Savannah rally with other GOP candidates.

Deal needs more than 50 percent of the vote to win against Democrat Roy Barnes and Libertarian John Monds.

If no one receives more than that, the two top finishers - almost certainly Deal and Barnes - will vie in a Nov. 30 runoff.

"The polls ... seem to be moving in our direction," Deal told reporters. "We're optimistic we're going to win on Tuesday without a runoff.

"I don't think anyone wants another month of this. I think everybody is ready for this campaign to be over."

Four polls released this week show him 6 to 10 percentage points ahead of Barnes, with Monds at 4 to 8 percent of the vote.

All of them show Deal under 50 percent but within striking distance.

If he pulled the same share of undecided voters as the surveys say he has of those who have made up their minds, he'd be over 50 percent.

"I am not saying a runoff is inevitable, rather that it's a reasonable possibility," political analyst Matt Towery said Monday. On Tuesday, Towery's InsiderAdvantage Georgia poll showed Deal up by 6 percentage points.

But University of Georgia political science professor Charles Bullock said "the likelihood of a runoff appears slim."

Deal and other GOP hopefuls stumped in Savannah as he and Barnes led bus tours that have been meandering around the state in the closing days of the campaign.

Deal didn't mention Barnes - who is trying to win back the job he lost in 2002 - during a brief talk to about 80 people.

The closest he came was when he said there would be no "gridlock" as on his watch as governor. Previously, he's said that would happen between Barnes - if he were elected - and the Republican-dominated legislature.

Deal talked up jobs - the major theme of the tour - and said putting people back to work would generate tax revenue for schools and roads.

He also said he'd work with federal officials to make sure Savannah Harbor is deepened in time to float huge new cargo ships due along the East Coast in 2014.

"We cannot afford to miss that opportunity," he said.

Speaking next, GOP attorney general candidate Sam Olens said he'd work closely with Deal.

Olens also promised to back the state's efforts to stop illegal immigrants from voting and to support its lawsuit against the new national health care law.

Among others making pitches: agriculture commissioner candidate Gary Black; state school superintendent hopeful John Barge, and Ray McKinney, running in the 12th Congressional District.

In the crowd were women with three signs lambasting Deal for sponsoring a 1991 bill that critics say hindered prosecution of rape suspects. Deal and others dispute that claim.

After the rally, one of the women approached Deal.

She and Deal supporters exchanged harsh words and several of them surrounded her with large campaign signs as the candidate left.

The incident apparently interfered with the attempts of someone trying to shoot video of the flap.

Republican Nathan Deal said Wednesday he's confident he can win Tuesday's election for governor without a runoff.

The former Gainesville congressman was asked about his prospects before he spoke at a Johnson Square rally with other GOP candidates.

Deal needs more than 50 percent of the vote to win against Democrat Roy Barnes and Libertarian John Monds.

If no one receives more than that, the two top finishers - almost certainly Deal and Barnes - will vie in a Nov. 30 runoff.

"The polls ... seem to be moving in our direction," Deal told reporters. "We're optimistic we're going to win on Tuesday without a runoff.

"I don't think anyone wants another month of this. I think everybody is ready for this campaign to be over."

Four polls released this week show him 6 to 10 percentage points ahead of Barnes, with Monds at 4 to 8 percent of the vote.

All of them show Deal under 50 percent but within striking distance.

If he pulled the same share of undecided voters as the surveys say he has of those who have made up their minds, he'd be over 50 percent.

"I am not saying a runoff is inevitable, rather that it's a reasonable possibility," political analyst Matt Towery said Monday. On Tuesday, Towery's InsiderAdvantage Georgia poll showed Deal up by 6 percentage points.

But University of Georgia political science professor Charles Bullock said "the likelihood of a runoff appears slim."

Deal and other GOP hopefuls stumped in Savannah as he and Barnes led bus tours that have been meandering around the state in the closing days of the campaign.

Deal didn't mention Barnes - who is trying to win back the job he lost in 2002 - during a brief talk to about 80 people.

The closest he came was when he said there would be no "gridlock" as on his watch as governor. Previously, he's said that would happen between Barnes - if he were elected - and the Republican-dominated legislature.

Deal talked up jobs - the major theme of the tour - and said putting people back to work would generate tax revenue for schools and roads.

He also said he'd work with federal officials to make sure Savannah Harbor is deepened in time to float huge new cargo ships due along the East Coast in 2014.

"We cannot afford to miss that opportunity," he said.

Speaking next, GOP attorney general candidate Sam Olens said he'd work closely with Deal.

Olens also promised to back the state's efforts to stop illegal immigrants from voting and to support its lawsuit against the new national health care law.

Among others making pitches: agriculture commissioner candidate Gary Black; state school superintendent hopeful John Barge, and Ray McKinney, running in the 12th Congressional District.

In the crowd were women with three signs lambasting Deal for sponsoring a 1991 bill that critics say hindered prosecution of rape suspects. Deal and others dispute that claim.

After the rally, one of the women approached Deal.

She and Deal supporters exchanged harsh words and several of them surrounded her with large campaign signs as the candidate left.

The incident apparently interfered with the attempts of someone trying to shoot video of the flap.

Comments (9) Add comment
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nerthus
2
Points
nerthus 10/28/10 - 06:48 am
0
0
If we elect Deal we get what

If we elect Deal we get what we deserve - another crook in office.

sgachief
0
Points
sgachief 10/28/10 - 07:07 am
0
0
i voted for Deal because I

i voted for Deal because I think barnes is an arrogant fool that needs to crawl back under his rock and never come out again, but elections are not won based on polling. the only poll that counts is the one taken in the voting booth. Nathan, don't get too overly optimistic until the election night tallys come in. research polls lie more than politicians.

DRRush
1
Points
DRRush 10/28/10 - 07:37 am
0
0
nerthus, what in the hell do

nerthus, what in the hell do you think Roy Barnes? His law firm tried dozens of cases before Judges he appointed!!! I guess that doesn't bother you?

Indigo
4
Points
Indigo 10/28/10 - 08:06 am
0
0
Arrogance..........

Arrogance..........

Taylor B
5
Points
Taylor B 10/28/10 - 08:16 am
0
0
DRRush, I'm voting for

DRRush, I'm voting for neither, John Monds has my vote.

Captain Awesome
0
Points
Captain Awesome 10/28/10 - 08:18 am
0
0
I'm voting for Monds. He

I'm voting for Monds. He makes the most sense out of all of the candidates. I don't think either of the major parties will get the message until they see their precious duopoly threatened.

Darby
29315
Points
Darby 10/28/10 - 02:12 pm
0
0
"If we elect Deal we get what

"If we elect Deal we get what we deserve - another crook in office."

Much better we have an amateur crook than a professional like Barnes.

ron_rlw
1
Points
ron_rlw 10/28/10 - 02:18 pm
0
0
Darby - the fact is in a

Darby - the fact is in a republic such as the US ... we always get exactly the government we deserve. Hopefully we will do a better job hiring our elected officals this time.

ron_rlw
1
Points
ron_rlw 10/28/10 - 02:21 pm
0
0
Taylor and Captain ... Which

Taylor and Captain ... Which candidate is your least favorite ... a vote for Monds will help your least favority candidate win. Or do you really think Monds has a chance?

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