Georgia gubernatorial election polling results

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION - DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

Polling 400 likely Democratic Primary voters

I am going to read you a list of names.

The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

RECOGNIZE FAVORABLE RECOGNIZE UNFAVORABLE RECOGNIZE NEUTRAL DON'T RECOGNIZE
Roy Barnes 56% 6% 31% 7%
Thurbert Baker 32% 2% 45% 21%
David Poythress 14% 3% 25% 58%
Dubose Porter 11% 2% 24% 63%
Carl Camon 3% 2% 17% 78%

QUESTION: If the Georgia Democratic primary for governor were held today, which one of the following candidates would/did you vote for: (ORDER ROTATED)

Thurbert Baker
Roy Barnes
Carl Camon
DuBose Porter
David Poythress

  STATE MEN WOMEN WHITE BLACK <50 50+ ATLANTA METRO REST OF STATE
BARNES 54% 57% 52% 61% 47% 59% 51% 60% 47%
BAKER 20% 20% 20% 8% 32% 19% 21% 22% 18%
POYTHRESS 7% 8% 6% 15% 1% 4% 9% 4% 11%
PORTER 3% 4% 2% 7% - 3% 3% 3% 3%
CAMON - - - - - - - - -
UNDECIDED 16% 11% 20% 9% 20% 15% 16% 11% 21%

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION - REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

Polling 400 likely Republican Primary voters

I am going to read you a list of names. The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

RECOGNIZE FAVORABLE RECOGNIZE UNFAVORABLE RECOGNIZE NEUTRAL DON'T RECOGNIZE
John Oxendine 37% 19% 34% 10%
Karen Handel 30% 7% 32% 31%
Nathan Deal 24% 9% 35% 32%
Eric Johnson 15% 2% 31% 52%
Ray McBerry 6% 2% 22% 70%
Jeff Chapman 2% 1% 24% 73%

QUESTION: If the Georgia Republican primary for governor were held today, which one of the following candidates would/did you vote for: (ORDER ROTATED)

Jeff Chapman
Nathan Deal
Karen Handel
Eric Johnson
Ray McBerry
John Oxendine

STATE MEN WOMEN WHITE BLACK <50 50+ ATLANTA METRO REST OF STATE
OXENDINE 31% 35% 26% 26% 34% 36% 25% 28% 32%
HANDEL 23% 20% 26% 22% 24% 23% 23% 26% 22%
DEAL 18% 22% 13% 15% 20% 11% 26% 13% 20%
JOHNSON 6% 7% 5% 8% 5% 6% 5% 10% 4%
MCBERRY 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% - 3%
CHAPMAN 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
UNDECIDED 19% 13% 27% 28% 13% 21% 18% 21%

18%


QUESTION: If no candidate in the Republican primary receives at least 50% of the vote there will be a runoff between the top two vote-getters on August 10th. If there is an August runoff primary for governor, for whom would you vote if the candidates were (ORDER ROTATED)

John Oxendine
Nathan Deal

  STATE MEN WOMEN <50 50+ ATLANTA METRO REST OF STATE TEA PARTY YES TEA PARTY NO
OXENDINE 46% 47% 45% 44% 47% 50% 41% 49% 45%
DEAL 31% 35% 27% 29% 32% 29% 34% 23% 34%
UNDECIDED 23% 18% 28% 27% 21% 21% 25% 28% 21%

QUESTION: If there is an August runoff primary for governor, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

John Oxendine
Karen Handel

  STATE MEN WOMEN <50 50+ ATLANTA METRO REST OF STATE TEA PARTY YES TEA PARTY NO
OXENDINE 39% 46% 31% 42% 37% 40% 37% 35% 41%
HANDEL 33% 27% 39% 33% 33% 36% 29% 32% 33%
UNDECIDED 28% 27% 30% 25% 30% 24% 34% 33% 26%

QUESTION: If there is an August runoff primary for governor, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

John Oxendine
Eric Johnson

  STATE MEN WOMEN <50 50+ ATLANTA METRO REST OF STATE TEA PARTY YES TEA PARTY NO
OXENDINE 42% 43% 41% 40% 43% 46% 38% 39% 43%
JOHNSON 24% 26% 22% 26% 23% 27% 21% 29% 22%
UNDECIDED 34% 31% 37% 34% 34% 27% 41% 32% 35%

GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUP

Note different sampling and dates; does not include party oversampling

QUESTION: If the 2010 general election for governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Roy Barnes, the Democrat, and John Oxendine, the Republican?

    SEX   PARTY ID     RACE  
  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND WHITE BLACK
BARNES 42% 44% 40% 87% 10% 21% 27% 79%
OXENDINE 42% 43% 40% 7% 80% 43% 54% 10%
UNDECIDED 16% 13% 20% 6% 10% 36% 19% 11%

QUESTION: If the 2010 general election for governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Roy Barnes, the Democrat, and Karen Handel, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID RACE
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND WHITE BLACK
BARNES 45% 45% 46% 85% 14% 32% 32% 79%
HANDEL 34% 38% 30% 3% 66% 36% 44% 7%
UNDECIDED 21% 17% 24% 12% 20% 32% 24% 14%

QUESTION: If the 2010 general election for governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Roy Barnes, the Democrat, and Nathan Deal, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID RACE
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND WHITE BLACK
BARNES 46% 50% 41% 83% 14% 34% 31% 82%
DEAL 28% 32% 25% 6% 58% 24% 36% 7%
UNDECIDED 26% 18% 34% 11% 28% 42% 33% 11%

QUESTION: If the 2010 general election for governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Roy Barnes, the Democrat, and Eric Johnson, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID RACE
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND WHITE BLACK
BARNES 47% 49% 45% 89% 14% 32% 32% 83%
JOHNSON 29% 32% 25% 1% 61% 28% 38% 7%
UNDECIDED 24% 19% 30% 10% 25% 40% 30% 10%
How the poll was conducted - Primary Voters

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from July 8 through July 13, 2010. A total of 400 likely Democratic primary voters and 400 likely Republican primary voters in Georgia were interviewed statewide by telephone

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 5 percentage points for each group of primary voters. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or racial grouping.

NOTE: 37% of the total primary interviews (140 Democrat & 156 Republican) were conducted July 8-11, while 63% (260 Democrat & 244 Republican) were conducted July 12-13.

How the poll was conducted - General Election

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from July 8 through July 11, 2010. A total of 625 registered Georgia voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.


Search Augusta jobs