Cain leads South Carolina Republican primary race

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ATLANTA — Herman Cain holds a decisive lead in the South Carolina Republican primary, according to a survey conducted Sunday for The Augusta Chronicle.

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Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain speaks with the media after an interview on NBC's Meet the Press at NBC studio in Washington on Sunday, Oct. 16, 2011.  Jose Luis Magana/Associated Press
Jose Luis Magana/Associated Press
Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain speaks with the media after an interview on NBC's Meet the Press at NBC studio in Washington on Sunday, Oct. 16, 2011.

The Insider-Advantage/Majority Opinion Research poll of 476 registered voters likely to vote in the GOP primary gave Cain 32 percent of the vote, twice the share of Mitt Romney’s 16 percent.

Rick Perry holds 12 percent, making him essentially tied with Romney because the difference is within the 5 percent margin of error.

"In this case, South Carolina is a three-man race," said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery.

Rounding out the field is Newt Gingrich with 8 percent, Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann each with 6 and Jon Huntsman with 1. Four percent of those surveyed favored someone not listed in the choices, and 15 percent remain undecided.

Cain, a native of Georgia who once headed a pizza chain before becoming a talk-radio host, was the pick of every age group except seniors who prefer Romney, the former Massachusetts governor.

Where Romney appeals to independents, Cain does best with those identifying as Republicans.

Towery's poll Oct. 4 was the first to show Cain edging past Romney to gain the lead nationally as Perry lost ground.

Perry, the governor of Texas, harmed himself with a response to a cable-TV debate question about immigration where he said people who disagreed were heartless. He was defending signing into law in-state tuition discounts for college students who immigrated illegally as young children.

The response was especially stark in Florida where Towery conducted a survey for The Florida Times-Union, also Sunday evening, showing Perry with just 3 percent while Romney and Cain were essentially tied for the lead.

The steady turnover in the GOP lead nationally has led pundits to describe Cain as merely the "flavor of the month."

Towery credits Cain with more staying power.

"I've seen the flavor of the month almost every time. But he is sustaining himself," he said. "I think he's a little more than the flavor of the month."

Unless he stumbles, Cain has sufficient strength in enough states to be a contender as long as his newfound status in the top tier brings cash he'll need to advertise in large states like Florida with multiple media markets, Towery said.

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justthefacts
19910
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justthefacts 10/17/11 - 03:47 pm
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Sorry Burn, I don't share

Sorry Burn, I don't share your opinion that business is bad.

justthefacts
19910
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justthefacts 10/17/11 - 03:49 pm
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"especially those not now

"especially those not now paying income taxes." Yeah, that's terrible.

burninater
8649
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burninater 10/17/11 - 04:08 pm
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I'm not saying business is

I'm not saying business is bad, jtf. I'm saying that successful business strategy and successful economic/tax policy are apples and oranges. And further, it's a horrible idea to let a few individuals at the absolute extreme of wealth distribution write tax policy that explicitly benefits them at the expense of everyone else.

Let's try to avoid becoming a purely socialist country, but let's not do it by becoming a fascist one.

justthefacts
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justthefacts 10/17/11 - 04:15 pm
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Giving advice is not exactly

Giving advice is not exactly writing tax policy. "And further, it's a horrible idea to let a few individuals at the absolute extreme of wealth distribution write tax policy that explicitly benefits them at the expense of everyone else." LOL, we have that now.

bjphysics
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bjphysics 10/17/11 - 04:34 pm
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Justthefacts: “…combined tax

Justthefacts: “…combined tax rate of 27 percent of their income."

Why is that wrong? 9% on all income @ $50K = $4.5K

Annual spending/family of 4

Housing – shelter – $10,023
Pensions, Social Security – $5,027
Housing – utilities, fuels, public services – $3,477
Food – food at home – $3,465
Transportation – vehicle purchases – $3,244
Transportation – other expenses and transportation – $3,130
Healthcare – $2,853
Entertainment – $2,698
Food – food away from home – $2,668
Transportation – gasoline, motor oil – $2,384
Apparel and Services – $1,881
Cash Contributions (optional retirement and cash savings) – $1,821
Housing – household furnishings, equipment – $1,797
Education – $945
Housing – household operations – $984
Miscellaneous – $808
Housing – housekeeping supplies – $639
Alcoholic Beverages – $457
Personal Care – $588
Life, other personal insurance – $309
Reading – $118

High Total = $47.744K
Low total = $40.557K (no entertainment, eating out, or 401K contributions)

High fed sales tax =$47.744K x 9% = $4.29696K
Low fed sales tax =$40.577K x 9% = $3.65193K

Impact of corp tax on purchasing parity = $4.29696K (high
Impact of corp tax on purchasing parity = $3.65193K (low)

Total fed tax (high) = $4.5K+2 x $4.29696K= $13.09392K or 26.18784%

Total fed tax (low) = $4.5K+2 x $3.65193K= $11.80386K or 23.60722%

Therefore, for a family of 4 @ $50K income their tax burden (excluding Social Security and State taxes) is between 26.2 and 23.6%

Worst case IS 27% while best case drops to 24%*

*two significant digits rule

justthefacts
19910
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justthefacts 10/17/11 - 04:50 pm
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Darn, I hope you let someone

Darn, I hope you let someone else do all that. Your corp tax calculation is an assumption that all corp taxes will be passed on. Additionally, you assume that all income will be spent. For the record, I do not plan on voting for Mr. Cain. As a Republican, I couldn't possibly vote for a black man...could I?? But, I would just like to see him treated fairly. And, if he were elected, the look on the faces of people like Sharpton and the other useful tools of the Democrat Party would be priceless.

allhans
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allhans 10/17/11 - 05:27 pm
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If Mr Cain ever has the need

If Mr Cain ever has the need for his tax plan to work, more people will have to have jobs. He can't do it with the current tax base.

bjphysics
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bjphysics 10/17/11 - 06:07 pm
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1 Marine and 30

1 Marine and 30 Cops

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WmEHcOc0Sys

I’ve been having fun with OWS but I’m running low on ridicule

CorporalGripweed
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CorporalGripweed 10/17/11 - 06:18 pm
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It really doesn't matter to

It really doesn't matter to me who the Republican nominee is.
I already know who I'm voting for......Anybody but Obama....Period...

Brad Owens
4094
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Brad Owens 10/18/11 - 02:39 am
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I know a lot of the "FairTax"

I know a lot of the "FairTax" crowd think this is great because they see it as a way to get the so-called-but-not-really-Fair Tax passed or started.

But what this really is another revenue source for the Feds out of working people's pockets and will become a VAT.

Funny how folks are so willing, folks claimimg to be CONSERVATIVES, are so willing to accept another complete form of tax in addition to the already in place taxes, which by the way, will NOT be eliminated.

Crazy world we live in, the black Reicpublican spounting "tax increase" on the middle class is the GOP front runner! WOW! That is all I can say is WOW!

Little Lamb
43350
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Little Lamb 10/18/11 - 03:38 pm
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South Carolina Poll 32%

South Carolina Poll

32% Cain
16% Romney
15% Perry
08% Gingrich
06% Paul
06% Bachman
01% Huntsman

Florida Poll

33% Romney
30% Cain
12% Gingrich
03% Perry
03% Paul

I found it interesting that the Associated Press article that talked about both of these polls never even mentioned Michele Bachman. At least the Morris News Service did talk about her.

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