The Dow Jones industrial average suffered its biggest drop since Nov. 7, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell below 1,500 for the first time in three weeks.
Stocks had rallied in the early going as exit polls in Italy – the euro region’s third-largest economy – showed a center-left coalition that favored economic reforms was leading. That gain evaporated after a later poll predicted the elections could result in a political stalemate. The losses accelerated in the late afternoon as partial official results showed a protest campaign led by a comedian making stunning inroads.
“There was confidence in this election, and obviously confidence imploded,” said Ben Schwartz, a strategist at Lightspeed Financial.
Investors dumped Italian government bonds, sending their yields higher, and erased most of an early rally in Italy’s stock market. The yield on Italy’s 10-year government bond shot up to 4.43 percent from 4.12 percent early in the day, a sign that investors’ confidence in Italy’s government was dimming quickly. The country’s benchmark stock index, the FSTE MIB, rose 0.7 percent, giving up an early gain of 4 percent.
Investors fear the Italian election results could set off another crisis of confidence in the euro. Financial markets in Europe and the U.S. have swooned at the prospect of Italy or Spain being dragged into the region’s government debt troubles, which have led to bailouts of Greece, Ireland and Portugal and severe disruptions in financial markets.
As stocks plunged, gauges of market sentiment indicated investors were becoming more risk-averse and parking their money in defensive assets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which is widely considered an ultra-safe investment, fell sharply as investors plowed money into U.S. government bonds. The yield fell to 1.88 percent from 1.96 percent late Friday.
The VIX index, a measure of how volatile investors expect the stock market to be, surged 34 percent to 19, the biggest one-day move since August 2011.
On the New York Stock Exchange, Barnes & Noble rose $1.55, or 12 percent, to $15.06 after founder and Chairman Leonard Riggio told the bookseller he is going to try to buy the company’s retail business. Hertz advanced 31 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $19.04, despite posting a fourth-quarter loss, after the rental car company said that pricing improved, volume rose and it cut costs.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 had its first weekly decline of the year last week. Investors sent stocks plunging after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting revealed disagreement over how long to keep buying bonds in an effort to boost the economy.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify before the U.S. Senate’s banking committee Tuesday and again before Congress on Wednesday. Investors will watch to see if he gives any further indications about how long the central bank intends to keep providing stimulus to the economy.
Many analysts say the Fed’s bond-buying program and the resulting low interest rates have been a big driver behind this year’s stock rally. The Dow has gained 6.3 percent this year and the S&P 500 5.6 percent, pushing both near record levels. The Dow’s record close is 14,164, reaching in October 2007 and the S&P closed as high as 1,565 in the same month.
European stocks also advanced, but gave back much of their early gains. Benchmark indexes rose 0.4 percent in France, 1.5 percent in Germany and 0.8 percent in Spain. Britain’s index was up just 0.3 percent after Moody’s stripped the country late Friday of its triple-A credit rating.
Among other stocks making big moves:
• Drugmaker Affymax plunged $14.10, or 85 percent, to $2.42 after the company recalled its anemia drug following severe allergic reactions and the deaths of some kidney dialysis patients.
• Mead Johnson fell $3.64, or 4.6 percent, to $75.32 after the company said that a new regulation in Hong Kong could affect the company’s sales there as well as in mainland China.