The four-week average of applications, a less volatile measure, rose slightly to 365,500, the Labor Department said Thursday. That’s still a level consistent with modest hiring.
A department spokesman said the last two weeks’ figures were distorted by seasonal adjustments the department makes.
Normally, many applicants delay filing for benefits until the start of a quarter because doing so can produce larger checks. It turns out that California didn’t experience the expected jump in applications until the second week of this quarter. That shift had the effect of sharply lowering the seasonally adjusted number two weeks ago and sharply boosting it last week.
When they consistently fall below 375,000, it suggests hiring is healthy enough to lower the unemployment rate.
Several economists simply calculated the average of the two distorted weeks, which is 365,000. It’s modestly improved from September, suggesting that hiring could be a bit better this month.
The number of people receiving benefits fell. Just over 5 million people received aid in the week ending Sept. 29, the latest data available. That was about 40,000 fewer than the previous week.
Some reports suggest the economy is picking up. Retail sales grew in September at a healthy clip. And builders started construction on new homes and apartments last month at the fastest pace in more than four years.
Still, the economy is not growing fast enough to generate much hiring. Growth slowed to a tepid annual rate of 1.3 percent in the April-June quarter, down from 2 percent in the previous quarter. Most economists see growth staying at or below 2 percent in the second half of the year.
The unemployment rate fell in September to 7.8 percent, the lowest level since January 2009, the department said earlier this month. It fell because a government survey of households found a huge increase in the number of people who had jobs. A jump in part-time employment accounted for most of the gain.
Employers, meanwhile, added 114,000 jobs in September, according to a separate survey of businesses. Hiring in July and August was also revised much higher.
As a result, the economy gained an average of 146,000 jobs a month in the July-September quarter. That’s more than double the monthly pace in the April-June quarter.
Even so, hiring must be stronger to bring relief to the more than 12 million people who are unemployed. Roughly 100,000 new jobs are needed each month just to keep up with the working-age population.