Iran is again threatening to block a critical Persian Gulf shipping route in response to a European embargo of Iranian oil put in place because of Iran’s nuclear program.
Benchmark U.S. crude added $3.91, or 4.7 percent, to end at $87.66 per barrel in New York. That’s the highest price since May 30.
Brent crude, which sets the price of oil imported into the United States, rose above $100 for the first time in three weeks. Brent added $3.34, or 3.4 percent, to finish at $100.68 per barrel in London.
Combined with a big gain Friday, oil has risen by nearly $10 a barrel in less than a week. The national average for gas rose slightly to $3.30 per gallon, the first increase in more than two months.
An increase in U.S. factory orders from April to May also lifted oil prices Tuesday. Analysts are betting that Europe, China and the U.S. will take steps to stimulate their economies, which would boost oil demand.
More than a third of the world’s seaborne oil is shipped out of the Persian Gulf, so any move by Iran to shut the Strait of Hormuz raises the risk of a confrontation and the disruption of tanker traffic.
Iran has threatened to block the waterway since late last year when Western nations imposed financial sanctions and the European Union first proposed an oil embargo.
The dispute is over Iran’s nuclear program. The West says Iran is enriching uranium to build nuclear weapons. Iran denies the claim.
Iran said Tuesday that it test-fired several ballistic missiles, including a long-range variety meant to dissuade an attack by Israel or the United States. The New York Times reported that the U.S. has sent military reinforcements into the Persian Gulf to deter the Iranian military from any possible attempt to block the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s earlier saber-rattling helped boost U.S. oil above $110 per barrel and Brent above $125 in early March. Oil then dropped 25 percent from May 1 to June 28 as Iran decided to engage in negotiations, the European financial crisis worsened and growth slowed in the U.S. and China.
Now, with negotiations showing no progress and the European embargo in effect as of Sunday, investors are once again bracing for a response from Iran.
“The concern isn’t that Iran might sink a ship,” said Michael Lynch, the president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research. “It’s for a longer conflict that will keep insurers wanting to stay away from the Gulf, which would cause a disruption of shipping that could last a few weeks. That’s a major disruption of the world’s oil.”
Gas prices rose by just a fraction of a penny overnight Tuesday, but it was the first increase in 77 days.
The national average is now $3.329, according to auto club AAA, Wright Express and Oil Price Information Service. Experts say pump prices will range between $3.30 and $3.50 through Labor Day.
Wholesale gasoline futures added 9.9 cents to finish at $2.7229 per gallon. Wholesale gas has risen about 3 percent in the past week.
In other futures trading, heating oil added 8.26 cents to end at $2.7585 per gallon while natural gas rose by 7.5 cents to finish at $2.899 per 1,000 cubic feet.