Reports may provide jolt for employment

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WASHINGTON --- Employers holding out for more evidence that the economic recovery is finally taking hold got some Monday: The nation's service sector is growing quickly, and contracts for home sales are up.

The big question is whether the latest encouraging signs will help embolden companies to hire at a faster pace and bring down the unemployment rate.

Some economists and corporate executives say it could. And they say they no longer fear a double-dip recession -- in which the end of government stimulus money would tip the economy back into contraction.

Factories are producing more. Americans are willing to spend more. And the economy added 162,000 jobs last month, the most in nearly three years.

"It's much better news than we would have thought a few months ago," said Jennifer Lee, an economist at BMO Capital Markets.

The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group, said its service index rose to 55.4 in March from 53 in February. Any reading above 50 signals expansion. It was the strongest growth since ISM revised how it measured the service sector in January 2008.

The service sector is critically important because it accounts for about 80 percent of U.S. jobs, excluding farm workers. It includes jobs in areas such as health care, retail and financial services.

Offering more optimism, the National Association of Realtors said the number of people who agreed to buy previously occupied homes rose 8.2 percent in February. The index is considered a signal of future sales activity.

Home sales had been sluggish during the winter, partly because shoppers felt less rushed after lawmakers extended the deadline to qualify for a tax credit. The new deadline is April 30.

Both reports suggest the broader economy is recovering, and employers are taking notice.

Recruiters report more interest among their clients in hiring permanent, full-time workers. Companies are starting to search for permanent hires in accounting, finance and engineering positions for which they had been relying on temporary help, said Jodi Chavez, senior vice president at Ajilon Professional Staffing.

In some cases, businesses are starting hiring plans at least a month earlier than expected, she said.

Some analysts are less optimistic, though. They worry the economy will slow sharply over the next few months as government stimulus ends and other factors fade, such as a rebound in company inventories.

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johnston.cliff
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johnston.cliff 04/06/10 - 06:31 am
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The state run news agency,

The state run news agency, the AP, spent 4 years telling us that when unemployment was 4.5% and the Dow hovered around 14,000 the economy was in terrible shape and the Dems needed to be in control. When the Dems took over congress and the Dow fell and unemployment rose, it wasn't their fault. Now, unemployment is between 12% and 17% and the government says it's only 9.9% (apparently a state limit) and the Dow struggles to reach 10,000 and the state news service says things are looking good. My perspective is a little different.

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