Sharp fall in consumer confidence spurs fears

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NEW YORK --- Americans' outlook on the economy went into relapse in February. Rising job worries sent a key barometer of confidence to its lowest point in 10 months, raising concerns about the economic recovery.

A shopper browses in a department store in Brunswick, Maine. The Conference Board said Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index fell almost 11 points to 46 in February, a sign the recovery might be relapsing.   Associated Press
Associated Press
A shopper browses in a department store in Brunswick, Maine. The Conference Board said Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index fell almost 11 points to 46 in February, a sign the recovery might be relapsing.

The Conference Board said Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index fell almost 11 points to 46 in February, down from a revised 56.5 in January. Analysts were expecting only a slight decrease to 55. It was the lowest level since the index recorded a 40.8 reading in April 2009.

The increasing pessimism, which erased three months of improvement, is a big blow to hopes that consumer spending will power an economic recovery. Economists watch the confidence numbers closely because consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity.

The February reading is a long way from what's considered healthy: A reading above 90 means the economy is on solid footing. Above 100 signals strong growth.

"It still feels like a recession," said Lynn Franco, the director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center.

The drop is likely to raise pressure on the Obama administration and Congress to move faster on job creation measures.

President Obama said earlier this year that jobs would be his top priority. But legislation to stimulate hiring has yet to be approved. That delay and continued wrangling over health care reform might have contributed to the drop in confidence, some analysts said.

The Senate is expected to approve today a modest $15 billion jobs bill that would give employers tax breaks if they hire new workers.

While economists said heavy snowstorms in many areas of the country that shut down businesses dampened confidence, many believe the report confirms that consumers aren't feeling the nascent economic recovery.

"More than six months after the recovery started, consumer confidence is still close to a record low," said Paul Ashworth, the senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics Ltd. "Without a sustained acceleration in consumption growth, this recovery will eventually fade."

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johnston.cliff
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johnston.cliff 02/24/10 - 07:13 pm
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The phony "consumer

The phony "consumer confidence" was generated by a misleading press (AP). If the truth were known, the "jobs bill" is another tax debt that will show up as slow recovery. If the government would get out of the redistribution of wealth business and let the free market work, we'd be well into a recovery of this government generated recession by now.

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