SEC West tiebreaker

I've been trying to comment on my own column for about two hours and can only get through a couple brief blurbs that haven't been flagged for approval by our "site administrators." They'll be sorry when I heave my company issued laptop into the wall in frsutration.

 

But rather than do that and risk termination, I'll blog a few clarifications that were brought up in the comments about the SEC West tiebraker should Arkansas upset LSU and create a three-way logjam of 11-1 teams in the West with circular wins against each other (LSU over Alabama; Alabama over Arkansas; Arkansas over LSU, possibly).

 

Here's the eighth and final three-way tiebreaker from the SEC's website (which this scenario would come down to):

 

8. The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game, unless the second of the tied teams is ranked within five-or-fewer places of the highest ranked tied team. In this case, the head-to-head results of the top two ranked tied teams shall determine the representative in the SEC Championship Game.

So in other words, if Arkansas beats LSU and all three teams finish the regular season at 11-1, they are all likely to be ranked within five places of each other near the top of the BCS standings. (Currently, LSU is No. 1, Alabama No. 3 and Arkansas No. 6.) So it will depend
upon the final order the week before the SEC Championship game, with only the top two teams mattering.

 

If Alabama is first and LSU second, LSU would go. If Alabama is first and Arkansas second, 'Bama would go. So whoever is first better hope it beat whoever is second or it will get jumped. Understand?

 

Personally, I think LSU should still be rated highest because of its pair of quality wins over Oregon and West Virginia being better than anything the other two teams have accomplished (Alabama beat Penn State and Arkansas beat Texas A&M in their only notable non-conference games). The computers are likely to see it that way. But trying to read the minds of human voters is impossible. Some will consider the time of year a team lost. Others will study the strength of schedule and try to jostle their last rankings to benefit the team they thought did the overall best. Who knows?

 

Feel free to comment or correct my interpretation if you like. I may or may not be allowed to respond, so talk amongst yourselves.

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Scott Michaux
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Scott Michaux 11/13/11 - 07:40 pm
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And Riverman, here's the

And Riverman, here's the comment post you thought I pulled. What really happened is I tried to add the above explainer and everything just disappeared. Then came all the aforementioned frustration.

I was pointing out that I had predicted Georgia's revival to win the SEC East all the way back to Sept. 24, stating it in this Tweet that day. I had predicted it the day after the Bulldogs lost to South Carolina but this was the first printed declaration I could find as evidence.

ScottMichaux Scott Michaux
Lee Corso says Georgia will win 8 games this season. Why so stingy? I say the Bulldogs win 10 (at least) and win SEC East. Sorry Gamecocks.
Sep 24, 10:46 AM via web

justthefacts
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justthefacts 11/13/11 - 11:35 pm
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Scott, you would advocate LSU

Scott, you would advocate LSU over Arkansas even if Arkansas beats them....fair and square???

Riverman1
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Riverman1 11/14/11 - 04:11 am
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I actually had all this laid

I actually had all this laid out pretty well in a post that never showed up. Then I GOT CONFUSED and started thinking LSU. Ha. Yeah, I agree with what you said. I don't suppose ties for third in the BCS rankings are possible? That would be a nightmare.

What's confusing is all 3 teams will be within 5 places of each other.

JTF, the west team will NOT be a ten point favorite over UGA. Game is in Atlanta, ya know.

Riverman1
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Riverman1 11/14/11 - 04:55 am
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How bout this? Ala is THIRD

How bout this? Ala is THIRD in the BCS. If Ok State loses to Ok and LSU wins out including the SEC championship, LSU-Ala should meet again for the National Championship.

justthefacts
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justthefacts 11/14/11 - 07:44 am
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River, so was the Boise State

River, so was the Boise State game. The tickets are issued 50/50 to schools and thousands of "don't care who wins" corporate folks and other SEC affiliated people. It's not a home game.

Riverman1
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Riverman1 11/14/11 - 10:49 am
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It looks like Paul Johnson's

It looks like Paul Johnson's run option offense has made it to the NFL via Tim Tebow. He's 3-1 as a starter. Who would have thought an NFL team would only attempt 4 passes in a game, only complete 2 and win the game?

justthefacts
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justthefacts 11/14/11 - 04:00 pm
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River, if nothing strange

River, if nothing strange happens between now and game time, "Todd Fuhrman, the senior race and sports analyst for Caesars Entertainment in Las Vegas, said Monday that he projects LSU to be a 10½-point favorite over Georgia at the SEC title game at the Georgia Dome on Dec. 3."

Riverman1
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Riverman1 11/14/11 - 04:59 pm
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Justthefacts, yeah, I saw

Justthefacts, yeah, I saw that. So you are right by a point and a half so far. That could easily change.

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