Tuesday, June 25 - 7:05 p.m.
Savannah Sand Gnats (1-4, 44-30)
Gabriel Ynoa (74.2 IP, 2.77 ERA, 3.09 FIP, 21.4 K%, 3.1 BB%, .251 BABIP)
Augusta GreenJackets (3-2, 41-33)
Justin Schumer (40.2 IP, 6.20 ERA, 4.43 FIP, 8.7 K%, 8.2 BB%, .319 BABIP)
Schumer took a step back in a June 8 start against Lexington, allowing five earned runs and six total in 4.1 innings. It was the type of start that got him in trouble in May and led to first-inning exits.
But Schumer responded with one of his strongest outings last time out on June 15, allowing two runs with no walks and five strikeouts in seven innings against Charleston.
Schumer's numbers continue to suffer from early season struggles, but things have been more consistent for him since the beginning of June. One of the biggest keys for him is bearing down and stranding runners from the stretch; his numbers are through the roof with runners on, and his 58.3 percent strand rate is extremely low.
Schumer's start against Savannah on May 26 is where his season began to turn around, throwing five scoreless innings despite just one strikeout. It's a bit surprising considering the Sand Gnats are one of the more disciplined teams in the league at staying inside the ball and moving runners around. Schumer will likely have to live on outs in the field again in this game.
The thin Ynoa is getting his first look at Augusta this season. His ERA is benefiting from solid peripherals and a .251 BABIP, combining a good strikeout rate and weak contact. Ynoa throws arms and legs at you, using a fast motion that slings his arm forward. It creates arm-side run and sink, which is a big part of the weak contact.
Ynoa shows a good feel for a changeup with good deception from his fast arm; it could profile as a major league out pitch. His third offering is an inconsistent curveball that comes and goes according to feel. It has the ability to show solid late break, but he also tends to wrap it and spin it early.